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March 2003


Shopping Center Update for 3-31-03

Notes: 04 FFO's for BFS, IRT (which will be merged and non-existent by then) and UBP are NOT yet set by analysts - so they were guestimated at a 4% increase. 02 FFO's for AKR, MAC and RPT were taken from their year-end stats release, and were substantially different for numbers in the WSJ database.


Office Update for 3-31-03

NOTES from 3-21-03 Update:
    Consensus 2003 FFO extimates for AMV has gone from 51, to 43, and now to 62. So take stats based on that number with a grain of salt. The GL dividend stat has also had a big change. This weeks big jump in prices has all but one stock sporting a gain for the year - after the dividend.
NOTES from 3-07-03 Update:
    Since the end of February, GL has had an 03 FFO cut of 16.43%, CRE has had a cut of 2.11%, HIW has had a cut of 9.46% [with more expected come] and KE had a cut of 12.62%.
    Only PKY has had an FFO upgrade - and PKY is the only Office REIT to have a total return of over 2% for the year. PKY also looks reasonably priced in terms of price/FFO and price/book.

    Note: An explanation of abbreviations: Op = operation expenses. Ad and Admin = administrative expenses. Exp - total expenses. Rev = revenue. Dep and Deprec = depreciation expenses. Int = interest. Total expenses was calculated by subtracting 'net income' from revenue. Thus some 'one time charges' not included in pro-forma statements are included in these expenses. I am persuaded by the accounting vigilantes who say that there are no one time charges that should be excluded. Restructuring charges should not be excluded - because restructuring is a constant/ongoing process in modern America.
    Price to book was calculated by taking assets minus liabilities (to get 'capital') and then dividing by total shares. Everything that was not equity (listed as common stock, additional paid-in capital, and retained earnings) was considered a liability - and that included preferred shares.


Mall Update for 3-31-03


Industrial Update for 3-31-03


Apartment Update for 3-31-03


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